ple of first downs away from being able to run out the clock, as they faced

The 16 NRL clubs have done their off-season shopping in an attempt to find a perfect formula to win a premiership. Mark Ashton digs a bit deeper to reveal which new face hold the keys to success.Brisbane Broncos -?Tautau MogaTautau Moga is as close to a prototype for Israel Folau as there has ever been - he looks like him, runs like him and at just 23 years old, he also has the potential to carve out a similarly successful career.However, injuries have disrupted Mogas career - two back-to-back knee reconstructions at the Roosters, one during his return game in NYC, led to him moving mid-season to the Cowboys in 2014 where he was struck down with the same injury for a third time in as many years.While Moga has spent more time in the doctors surgery than on the playing field, he has a huge opportunity at the Broncos and looms as a pivotal addition to a squad that has lost some strike power out wide - Jack Reed has retired while uncertainty remains about Tom Opacic who has been battling a shoulder injury and James Roberts who entered rehab at the back end of 2016.Canberra Raiders -?Jordan TurnerJordan who? I hear you ask. Jordan Turner is a highly experienced 27-year-old centre or back rower with 229 games under his belt in the Super League, including 119 with English powerhouse club St Helens.Still not convinced? Well the Raiders recent record with players from England is second to none and their northern hemisphere talent scout deserves a healthy pay rise.Elliott Whitehead and Josh Hodgson arrived in Australia as unknown commodities over the past two seasons and are now considered by many as two of the NRLs best in their respective positions so there is no reason why Turner cant do likewise - however, he will find it extremely difficult to force his way into the Raiders squad in 2017.Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Brenko LeeThe Bulldogs have lost their try-machine Curtis Rona to Super Rugby franchise Western Force but have not lost anything in their recruitment of Brenko Lee from the Raiders.Such is the Raiders depth these days, Lee could only break into the NRL side after injury or suspension struck but on each occasion in the top grade he showed his pedigree and an excellent ability to finish off a try.?Lee will have big shoes to fill though - Rona posted 34 tries in 50 games in his two years at Canterbury but he has the quality to equal or better that mark and help improve the Dogs clunky attack of 2016.Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks -?Tony WilliamsThe secret to sparking Tony Williams remains a mystery but the Sharks may have played a masterstroke by signing the monster forward to a one-year deal.T-Rex has built a reputation of playing his best football when contract negotiations are due and with that situation hanging over him all season it may provide the key to sparking one of the most destructive forwards in the NRL on a regular basis.The premiers boast a tough and skillful forward pack but if they can somehow drag the best out of the former New South Wales and Australia representative each week then they a strong chance of becoming the first club to win back-to-back titles in 24 years.Gold Coast Titans -?Dan SarginsonThe Perth-born England international arrives in the NRL with an impressive reputation but we have seen this before.The 23-year-old was a member of Wayne Bennetts England Four Nations squad and can play any position across the backline so his versatility appears to make him an astute acquisition for the Titans.Sarginson is likely to line up in the centres for Gold Coast and if his resume is a true reflection of his talent then his combination with Konrad Hurrell in the three-quarter line could see the Titans muscle their way into the upper echelon of the top eight.Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Blake GreenIts been highly documented that Manly failed dismally to replace Kieran Foran at five-eighth in 2016 and the signing of Blake Green is set to be a win-win scenario for the Sea Eagles.The former Storm pivot will allow Dylan Walker to return to his favoured position in the centres as well as taking a great deal of pressure of star halfback Daly Cherry-Evans who struggled in 2016 without a genuine halves partner.Green has great experience, a cool head under pressure, comes from a winning culture at the Storm and his game should provide the perfect foil for Cherry-Evans.?Melbourne Storm -?Josh Addo-CarrThe loss of Fijian-flyer Marika Koroibete was a major blow to the Storms attacking firepower but little more than two weeks later they captured the signature of another speedster in Josh Addo-Carr.The 21-year-old scored six tries in nine appearances for Wests Tiger in his NRL debut season in 2016 and will have even more opportunity to find the try-line on the end of Melbournes star-studded backline.With a full season under the tutelage of coach Craig Bellamy, Addo-Carr will be short-odds to post 20+ tries and that level of return is sure to have the Storm rumbling into another NRL finals series.Newcastle Knights -?Rory KostjasynThe Knights have recruited well and while Jamie Buhrers signature gained the most publicity, Rory Kostjasyn looms as their most important new face.To date, Kostjasyn has NRL career has seen him used predominantly as an interchange player at former clubs the Storm and the Cowboys but at the Knights he will play bigger minutes, be expected to demonstrate strong leadership and help steer a relatively young team around the park.He comes from two successful clubs and has learned from two of the NRLs best hookers in Cameron Smith and Jake Granville but now has his chance to be the leading man and should flourish with the added responsibility.?New Zealand Warriors - Kieran ForanAs early as 2015, Kieran Foran was one of the NRLs elite players but a string of personal issues in 2016 have seen the former New Zealand internationals reputation suffer a major hit.However, for all his dramas, Forans signature was still prized by a number of NRL clubs and the Warriors ability to secure his services for 2017 should make them genuine premiership contenders.A move across the Tasman to his birthplace could be the perfect place to help the former Sea Eagles and Eels star conquer his demons and to re-establish his life and career - if he can then the Warriors will go a long way to finally achieving their full potential.North Queensland Cowboys -?Ben HamptonBen Hampton is a versatile and talented footballer who can play any position across the backline but with the Cowboys well served in his favoured positions he may find himself pushed into the middle of the park at hooker.The 24-year-old made the difficult decision to leave the Storm to return home to be closer family in far north Queensland and the more settled environment away from football could help him take his game to a new level.He has a huge opportunity to nail down place in the Cowboys star-studded side with the departure of Rory Kostjasyn to the Knights opening up a vacant bench spot and North Queenslands campaign could hinge on whether he can make a similar contribution.Parramatta Eels -?Josh HoffmanThe three-quarter line has been a problem area for the Eels in recent seasons with back rower Brad Takairangi required to fill a role, albeit quite admirably.Josh Hoffman was a New Zealand international in 2013 and although he has been well below his best for a number of years he still has the talent and if Parramatta can tap into it they might well strike gold.With Michael Jennings holding down one centre position there is another available if someone wants to grab it and if Hoffman regains his best form he could be the missing link the Eels have been looking for.Penrith Panthers - Mitch ReinJames Tamou is obviously a standout as Penriths biggest name recruit but Dragons discard Mitch Rein looms as their most important in 2017.Hooker was a headache position for Panthers coach Anthony Griffin until veteran Peter Wallace reluctantly filled the role with great distinction.Wallace is likely to finish his career in the number nine jumper but Rein will serve as his deputy. His could turn out to be a shrewd signing by the Panthers but if Penrith are to be successful, Rein MUST find more creativity than he showed at the Dragons. ?South Sydney Rabbitohs -?Robbie FarahRobbie Farah needs no introduction but the circumstances that brought the former Wests Tigers hooker to Redfern could give South Sydney exactly what they need to return to the top eight.Farahs bitter split with his former club is sure to stoke the fire inside the veteran and his new teammates will also be more focused after a highly-disappointing 2016 season, so motivation should be in plentiful supply in the Rabbitohs camp next season.Farah will add a new dimension to the Bunnies and playing in a pack alongside the Burgess brothers, he and Souths should be set to enjoy a much happier year than they endured in 2016.St. George Illawarra Dragons -?Cameron McInnesCreativity was a major problem for St George Illawarra in 2016 with only the last-placed Knights scoring fewer tries throughout the 26 regular season rounds.As recent as 2015, McInnes was seen by Souths as the man to succeed Issac Luke at hooker but the Rabbitohs signing of Robbie Farah meant he quickly became surplus to requirements.However, the Bunnies trash could be the Dragons treasure and with halfback Drew Hutchison now injured for most of the season, McInnes will be relied upon to call the shots as the Dragons attempt to break back into the NRL top eight.Sydney Roosters -?Luke KearyLike the Sea Eagles, the Roosters failed to adequately fill the five-eighth position in 2016 after the departure of James Maloney to Cronulla but Luke Keary represents a similar type of player and is expected to bring a similar brand of success.Jackson Hastings fell short of expectation while Connor Watson showed promise but the Roosters are a club that want results immediately and they moved quickly to grab premiership-winning five-eighth Keary from traditional rival Souths Sydney.On paper, Kearys partnership with Mitchell Pearce in the halves look to be one of the Roosters strong points and the sooner they strike an understanding the sooner the Roosters will be crowing again.Wests Tigers -?Jamal IdrisOn his day, Jamal Idris can be one of the most devastating runners of the ball but the challenge facing the Wests Tigers is ensuring those days happen regularly throughout the 2017 NRL season.After walking away from the game to discover himself in 2015, Idris is back and saying all the right things - he says hes enjoying training again and wants to re-establish his NRL career and if he can then the Tigers have played a masterstroke with his signing.Whether he plays at centre or in the second row, Idris brings a touch of class to the Tigers in 2017 and the former New South Wales and Australia representative could the X-factor they need to take the next step into the NRLs top eight.? 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Banks told TSN on Jan 2 that he had no interest in playing out the option year of his contract with the Lions in 2014, and he again made that clear in a conversation with Lions GM Wally Buono last week. Rob Nelson of ESPN Stats & Information revisits the worst bad beats from the weekends gambling action.Closing lines are courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, and pick percentages are via Wunderdog Sports.SaturdayLouisiana Tech Bulldogs at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Closing line: Western Kentucky -12These teams continue to light up the scoreboard when they meet. Back in October, Louisiana Tech held off Western Kentucky, winning 55-52. The rematch featured 102 combined points and a bad beat for bettors who took the Bulldogs.Things were looking good for those who took the underdog, as Louisiana Tech took a 41-38 lead on a Kam McKnight one-yard touchdown run early in the third quarter. Unfortunately for the 42 percent who bet the Bulldogs, they wouldnt find the end zone again. With a minute to go in the fourth, Louisiana Tech trailed 51-44 and needed to stop Western Kentucky on a third-and-four from the Bulldogs 13-yard line. They couldnt get the stop, as Anthony Waless 13-yard touchdown run covered the spread for the Hilltoppers.Final score: Western Kentucky 58, Louisiana Tech 44 (Western Kentucky covers)New Mexico State Aggies at South Alabama Jaguars Closing line: Over/under 59Of the 14 FBS games played on Saturday, five were Sun Belt matchups. The 48 percent of bettors who took the under in this game ended up not too thrilled about their lack of betting options.The game was tied at 14 entering the fourth quarter, with the total 31 points short of the closing over/under. The teams would combine for five touchdowns in the final 15 minutes, capped off by a 35-yard touchdown catch by New Mexico States Johnathan Boone with 25 seconds left. That score not only cost those on the under, but gave the Aggies a backdoor cover (closed as 11.5-point underdogs).Final score: South Alabama 35, New Mexico State 28 (Game goes over)Clemson Tigers vs Virginia Tech Hokies Closing line: Clemson -11The 59 percent of bettors who took Clemson had to feel good about their chances near the end of the third quarter.The Tigers led 35-14 and their offense seemingly couldnt be stopped. But Virginia Tech wouldnt go down easily, scoring touchdowns on each of its next three posssessions.dddddddddddd After the Hokies cut the Clemson lead down to 42-35, the Tigers got the ball back with 5:43 left and a chance to cover the spread. But Deshaun Watson and company went backwards, and ended up punting on fourth-and-17. There would be no more scores, as those on Clemson are still wondering how Virginia Tech scored 21 of the last 28 points.Final score: Clemson 42, Virginia Tech 35 (Virginia Tech covers)San Diego Toreros at North Dakota State Bison Closing line: Over/under 47With a small slate of FBS games this past weekend, some looked to the FCS playoffs for some college football betting. Those who took the under in this game are wishing they had avoided the action.The five-time defending FCS champions led from start to finish and ended up covering the 25.5-point spread. But it was the last score by North Dakota State that cost bettors on the under. Leading 38-7 (with the total two points under the closing O/U), the Bison had the ball and were just trying to run out the clock. But with less than 30 seconds left, North Dakota States Bruce Anderson broke free for a 61-yard touchdown that pushed the total over.Final score: North Dakota State 45, San Diego 7 (Game goes over)SundayWashington Redskins at Arizona Cardinals Closing line: Cardinals -2.5, Over/under 48.5Entering this game, the Redskins had covered in nine of their last 11 games when listed as an underdog. On the other hand, the total had gone under in 10 straight Arizona home games.Both trends looked to be right again, as bettors on the Redskins and/or the under were in good shape. The Cardinals were a couple of first downs away from being able to run out the clock, as they faced a second-and-10 at the Washington 42-yard line with 2:03 left. Knowing the clock would stop at the two-minute warning, Carson Palmer heaved a passed into double coverage that was somehow caught by J.J. Nelson for a touchdown. Just like that, the Cardinals -2.5 and the over 48.5 were winning bets.Final score: Cardinals 31, Redskins 23 (Cardinals cover and game goes over)